Cycle coal reforms
"This is his karma" - say, when the same events are repeated in human life. Happening in the Ukrainian coal industry - too original chi. She can not get out of the "shadow", get rid of the criminal element. Recent decisions of the Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry of Ukraine only conserve this state. Cycle coal reforms So, on July 8 at a briefing Deputy Minister Vadim Ulida reported that Minenergouglya developed a program that provides for the termination of state support to the coal industry in 2020 That means abandoning announced privatization gosshaht. In accordance with previously adopted state program in 2013 due to the transfer of coal mining SOEs to private ownership budgetary subsidies for them had to be reduced by 4.7 billion hryvnia to the previous year, to 9.9 billion hryvnia. Later in 2014 was supposed to complete the privatization of the coal industry in the public sector, and from 2016 to completely abandon coal subsidies "generals" at the expense of Ukrainian taxpayers. The legislative framework for this long existed: the last of the account the peculiarities of the law on the privatization of the coal industry adopted by the Verkhovna Rada in April and signed by then-President Viktor Yanukovych in May 2012 But still not grown together. Privatization contrary to approved plans and has not been started. Accordingly, the state grant in 2013 helped to reduce 4.7 billion hryvnia, and modest 1.3 billion hryvnia. At the same time growth gosshahty declared losses of 3.2 billion hryvnia, to 15.1 billion hryvnia. Thus, in the consolidated budget gosugleproma remained hole of 1.8 billion hryvnia: debts to energy, wages, the Pension Fund of Ukraine and compulsory state insurance funds. Recall the "island" a detailed analysis of this situation. This year, again slightly cut subsidies, but even 12 billion hryvnia from the state budget to spend on financing proceeds of corruption in the informal sector of the economy - would be a luxury. Especially when you consider that the government budget expenditures financed by Arseny Yatsenyuk now mainly due to all sorts of loans, which then have to give interest. By the way, the International Monetary Fund as the main creditor of Ukraine raised the question of privatization gosshaht as one of the loan conditions of Ukraine. After that it seemed that under such a powerful external pressure process finally get off the ground. Because it is obvious that voluntarily lose corruption schemes with billions "left" income would not be desirable to those who sit in government or leadership gosshaht. But corrupt showed enviable tenacity and categorically refuse to release from the clutches of the fairy-Ryaba chicken that lays the golden eggs. And golden loaves. And a lot of things good. This is indicated by the development of a new state program for the coal industry, prolonging the current mechanism of theft from the budget under the guise of state subsidies. So his attempt to give our answer to Chamberlain, ie IMF. Moreover, on July 15 the head Minenergouglya Yuriy Prodan said that the new government program has already been approved at a cabinet meeting. Now we expect the response of the Fund. If he shows integrity and seek privatization, it will have to spend. But authorities want to make it very peculiar. According to media reports, citing sources in Minenergouglya, the first will be on display for sale juiciest "pieces", ie mines in the country with the largest probable reserves. We are talking about the mines’ Chaikino "(130 million tons), the A. Stakhanov (130 million tons) and" Toshkovskoy "(100 million tons). And all are invited to privatize 38 most promising gosshaht of 93 employees. And it will present to the lender as some attempt to compromise. The rest of the state hanged unmarketable. Ie will shift the costs of closure and liquidation of their pockets for Ukrainian citizens, from which the so-called state calculates taxes. Actually such maneuvers not resemble the state policy in the coal industry the central executive authorities, and the actions of an organized criminal group which by prior agreement with the purpose of theft of property ... and below, as is usually written in the indictment. After previously proposed a mechanism whereby the prospective mine unite with unprofitable investment in lots, which will be put up for sale. Ie want to get an attractive asset - take it to the load with the "overhang" and bear the costs of development or conservation. Otherwise significantly reduce state subsidies do not succeed, because the state remain on the balance of the most problematic and unprofitable associations, including 61 mine. This means that we solve the problem of "kopanok" also fails, illegal coal mining in the Donbass will continue to flourish with all its consequences: loss of miners not duly-appointed workings, as well as criminal "dispute" over control of the business. Talking about reforms in the coal industry and will talk, one state program will be made to replace another, thus they will differ only choice. As it is, in fact, still happened at all premiers and presidents. Vicious circle. Carbon boomerang for Ukraine In turn, in this scenario it is not necessary to hope that we ever reach the European standard of living. Ukraine (as well as Russia, for which the problem of corruption is very serious, too) will never turn into a thriving prosperous country like Sweden or Belgium, if the police instead of the law will continue to defend the interests of criminals. If the main interest of officials remain private criminal enrichment, rather than work on their country and its citizens, anywhere in the U.S. and Canada. Do the Ukrainians in general and in particular the residents of Donbass? That the answer to these questions lies in the choice between LC-DNR and Ukraine or Russia? Some may say that now, when there are explosions in the Donbas and bloodshed, these issues are not at the time. "And at this time, Ephraim henchman assigned to them for the post of first deputy. Minister of Energy and Coal Industry Zyukov Yu, A. Efremmovu helps to "win" the next tender for the development of the SE "Luganskugol" issue price of nearly one hundred million hryvnia. The money will be stolen, as always, to wrestle with the question of where they will not even worth it, they will go to equip an army of mercenaries and traitors. The question is how we are going to sit and scratch their heads, hoping that someone behind us bring order to the country. People include the brain! While not win the coal mafia and especially here in Kiev, the war in the Donbass will be infinite, because cashing in on it all the mafia, and those who are on the Banking and Hrushevskoho - wrote in his Facebook Lugansk known human rights activist and social activist Konstantin Il’chenko . So, despite the war, it is currently officials in high offices not puzzling over how to stop the bloodshed and vengeance shared financial flows. Thus, in early July, Prime Yatsenyuk said that post-war reconstruction of Donbass will cost 8.1 billion hryvnia, according to preliminary estimates. I think that in fact this figure can be safely divided into 2 - based on the fact that in our reality 50% of allocated money stolen directly by the so-called "rollback" upstairs. But even remaining 4 billion hryvnia still about half go to "shrinkage" and "shrinkage" at the secondary level and at the level of the performers. A rebuild destroyed homes just have his own expense. It’s just a prediction, but based on real experience - as, for example, in the aftermath of floods in western Ukraine in 2008-2009. Nothing because, in essence, has changed at the top and on the ground, despite the recent Evromaydan. So after the end of hostilities still fun to be cleaner than preparing for Euro 2012 - because the amount of 8.1 billion hryvnia is not final. Yatsenyuk separately noted that in the budget there is no money, will again turn to foreign creditors. Well, the country came to a situation where $ 1 billion in debt more or less - it does not matter, you still have nothing to give. As suggested by the international rating agency Standard & Poor’s, the end of this year, the total external debt of Ukraine reached 60.1% of the nominal gross domestic product (GDP). At the same time S & P does not expect a speedy completion of the Ukrainian crisis, worsening July 14 fall national GDP forecast to 7% in 2014 Earlier, the IMF and the World Bank predicted that the figure will not exceed 5%. However, to a record seemingly still far: in 2009, it registered a decline of 14.8%. But here we must consider the comparative base: then collapse occurred after several years of continuous growth. And although he was certainly painful, but not critical in terms of survival. Now everything is much sadder, because of the crisis of the economy has not recovered: a net gain for 2010-2013. amounted to 9.56%. But this relative dynamics. If we take the nominal GDP at current prices, then in 2013 it amounted to $ 182.026 billion, and by the end of 2014 will be only $ 135 billion Ie obtain a drop of 25.9% - due to the devaluation of the hryvnia in March this year. Special thanks for that the then head of the National Bank of Ukraine to Stepan Kubivu whereby hryvnia savings of citizens in a moment immediately depreciated by 30%. Given stop many industrial companies and as a consequence, an increase in unemployment, held 2 times increase in utility tariffs in the actual failure of the state to support the poor through subsidies can be quite confident to predict: Maidan-III is not far off. On approach with the onset of autumn frosts, which will be received with cold batteries and no hot water - because the power pulled from years of "Naftogaz" billions of dollars, eventually bringing a prosperous state company before the actual bankruptcy. And this is the karma of all Ukraine, part of which is the Donbass. In the end, if you really like it should be remembered that it is a powerful protest movement in the Donbas in 1990-1991. contributed to the elimination of the USSR and the formation of an independent Ukraine. Yes, it Donetsk miners helmets then knocked on the rails instead of "Bandera" in Lviv, if anyone has forgotten. And in 1993 the miners march from Donetsk to Kiev led to an early retirement from the presidential office and the arrival of Leonid Kravchuk Leonid Kuchma. So Maidan-I,-II in 2004 and 2014 were not the invention of western Ukraine, as many would like to imagine now. Should not point the finger at Kiev and say "why they can, but we do not have?". It Donbass at the time set an example for how to deal with power, oblivious of citizens. And he also showed that the policy can be irresponsible: the same Kuchma elections promised in 1994 southeast of Ukraine to strengthen relations with Russia. "Smaller rivers, more bridges" - that was his campaign slogan. Immediately after winning the election and inauguration, instead of Moscow flew to Canada and the U.S., where in Washington signed the first loan agreement with the IMF. And no one asked the new president - "how?". No wonder that "pokraschennya zhyttya today" after the 2010 election was held only in Donetsk candidate Viktor Yanukovych and his family, and not those who voted in the Donbas "for her." Therefore, the statement "Donbass nobody heard" sound like accusations mirror. And now all this turmoil, which began in his time in Ukraine miners southeast, here and returned as a boomerang - because ’23 independence learned nothing of its inhabitants. As sad as it sounds. Hindsight explains much of what is happening now in the Donbas. Indeed, in accordance with the law of karma undigested lessons recur again and again in ever more rigid form. In 1998, protesters in Lugansk miners dispersed by police with tear gas and batons, but now, 16 years later, the city is under rocket and mortar fire. And whether there will be? Now there is a danger that once again will learn a lesson. This is indicated by a new program called "Reform" of the coal industry, in reality, only preserving a few more years its current status. This is evidenced by the lack of economic reforms aimed at its detenezatsiyu. What July 16 mentioned representative of the observation mission of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe Marietta de Pourbaix-Lundin, speaking in Strasbourg with a report on the visit to Ukraine. According to her, the window of opportunity for the country’s current government reform is closing fast. Hence, the new Maidan getting closer. Maybe after the Donbas finally begin life anew? True, there are suspicions that the price for it would be too expensive for all ...